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See draft report of Population, Housing and Employment Forecast Study

February 12, 2019 –

How will Kingston grow? That's the question the draft of the City of Kingston's Population, Housing and Employment Forecast Study aims to address.

The draft report is now available for review and input at the City's Population, Housing & Employment Projections Study web page. Offer your comments on the study by 4:30 p.m. on Tuesday, Feb. 19.

"This study has benefitted from resident and stakeholder input in addition to extensive research and data analysis. These low, medium (base) and high-range forecasts will help the City and community make better decisions and recommendations on everything from infrastructure planning to service delivery," says Andrea Furniss, senior planner. The study was the subject of two open houses last year: one in July and another in December.

The forecasts, prepared for the City by Watson and Associates Economists Ltd., show how the City of Kingston and Kingston Census Metropolitan Area (C.M.A.) is expected to grow through 2046. Here are a few highlights:

  • Under the base case scenario, the population of the Kingston C.M.A is expected to  increase from 166,000 to 187,300 by 2046 (0.4% average annual growth rate). The permanent population of those who live in the city itself is forecast to grow from 127,686 in 2016 to 136,100 in 2026 and to 146,300 in 2046 (0.5% average annual growth rate).
  • Under the base case scenario, the City of Kingston employment base is forecasted to increase from 74,800 in 2016 to 85,700 in 2046 (0.5% average annual growth rate).
  • In the City of Kingston, the percentage of the population in the 75+ age group is forecast to nearly double over the next 30 years, from 9% in 2016 to 16% in 2046.
  • Over the next 30 years, the City's permanent housing base is forecast to increase by 10,400 households from 53,500 in 2016 to 63,900 in 2046.

Once finalized, the study will be presented to the planning committee on March 21 with recommendations brought to council on April 2. An update to the Population, Housing and Employment Forecast Study is conducted every five years to ensure decision-makers are working from the latest information.  The last update was conducted in 2013.

For more details on the study's background, see: www.CityofKingston.ca/business/planning-and-development/planning-studies/projections.